Championship

Championship | Gameweek 32

Feb 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Robins High Performance Centre

Bristol City
2 - 0
Stoke

Mehmeti (11', 73')
Roberts (40'), McGuane (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rose (24'), Gibson (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Swansea
Sunday, February 9 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 3-3 Cardiff (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Stoke City
52.12% ( 0)	25.82% ( 0.01)	22.06% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.32% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.64% (

-0.02)

56.36% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.62% (

-0.02)

77.38% (

0.02)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31% (

-0.01)

21.69% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.16% (

-0.01)

54.83% (

0.01)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.14% (

-0.02)

40.85% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.57% (

-0.02)

77.43% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 52.11%

Stoke City 22.06%

Draw 25.81%

Bristol City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 13.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 52.11%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 1.24% Total : 22.06%