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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 9, 2025 at 12pm UK
Robins High Performance Centre
Swansea logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Swansea

FT(HT: 0-0)
Tymon (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-2 Coventry
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-0 Swansea City

It has been a rough start to 2025 for Swansea, who have lost all but one of their seven matches across all competitions. While the Swans will be looking to stop the rot, they are in for a tough 90 minutes at Ashton Gate, where Bristol City have picked up 16 points from a possible 18 in the league. That said, we predict that the Robins will maintain their impressive run of results in front of their home supporters and come away with the desired results this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
52.12% (0.263 0.26) 25.72% (0.222 0.22) 22.16% (-0.484 -0.48)
Both teams to score 46.67% (-1.183 -1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.06% (-1.261 -1.26)55.94% (1.26 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96% (-1.036 -1.04)77.04% (1.034 1.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (-0.405 -0.41)21.52% (0.405 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (-0.623 -0.62)54.57% (0.622 0.62)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47% (-1.191 -1.19)40.53% (1.191 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (-1.094 -1.09)77.13% (1.094 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 52.11%
    Swansea City 22.16%
    Draw 25.72%
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 13.39% (0.48 0.48)
2-0 @ 10.29% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.27% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 52.11%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.415 0.42)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.127 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 22.16%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Swansea

Bristol City
89.3%
Draw
7.1%
Swansea City
3.6%
56
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Swansea
1-1
Bristol City
Cabango (15')
Naughton (49')
Knight (76')
Mehmeti (55'), Sykes (90+2'), Wells (90+5')
Mar 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 37
Bristol City
1-0
Swansea
Dickie (73')
Sykes (71'), Wells (88')

Tymon (63')
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cullen (10')
Naughton (45+2'), Ginnelly (57'), Paterson (90')
Sykes (48'), Bell (59')
Naismith (45+3'), Dickie (86')
Mar 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Bristol City
Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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