Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.