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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Stoke logo

Norwich
4 - 2
Stoke

Dobbin (32'), Sargent (48', 71'), Tchamadeu (78' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Baker (45+2', 90+7' pen.)
Tchamadeu (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-1 Swansea
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
54.17% (0.44799999999999 0.45)23.63% (-0.145 -0.15)22.2% (-0.307 -0.31)
Both teams to score 52.92% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.29% (0.281 0.28)47.71% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1% (0.259 0.26)69.9% (-0.262 -0.26)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.48% (0.26900000000001 0.27)17.51% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.97% (0.468 0.47)48.03% (-0.471 -0.47)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)35.84% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (-0.136 -0.14)72.62% (0.13300000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 54.16%
    Stoke City 22.2%
    Draw 23.63%
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.53% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.53% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.76% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 22.2%

How you voted: Norwich vs Stoke

Norwich City
46.2%
Draw
30.8%
Stoke City
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Stoke
1-1
Norwich
Manhoef (45+6')
Crnac (45')
Doyle (45+8')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Stoke
0-3
Norwich

Campbell (55')
Sargent (24'), Sara (28'), Barnes (60')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Norwich
1-0
Stoke
Stacey (44')
Giannoulis (43'), Fassnacht (81')

Leris (20'), Pearson (31')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Stoke
0-0
Norwich
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Norwich
3-1
Stoke
Ramsey (38', 71'), Sara (77')
Powell (90+2')