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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Norwich logo

Hull City
1 - 1
Norwich

Crooks (14')
McLoughlin (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sargent (47')
Doyle (56'), Wright (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Hull City
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-1 Preston
Tuesday, February 11 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 0-1 Norwich City

Unlike October's statement win for Norwich, Saturday's battle does not have the look of an engrossing, goal-laden affair, and it may be just the one moment of magic that separates the two ex-Premier League sides. With the likes of top scorer Sainz and Josh Sargent linking up in the final third, though, the Canaries have our vote to produce that one dash of inspiration needed to boost their playoff chances at the expense of the hosts' survival hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Hull CityDrawNorwich City
41.6% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 26.26% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 32.14% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.04% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)51.95% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.3% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)73.7% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)24.69% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)59.22% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.78% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)30.22% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.61% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)66.38% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 41.6%
    Norwich City 32.14%
    Draw 26.25%
Hull CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 41.6%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 32.14%

How you voted: Hull City vs Norwich

Hull City
44.4%
Draw
11.1%
Norwich City
44.4%
36
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Norwich
4-0
Hull City
Nunez (16'), Sargent (20'), Gordon (66'), Sainz (78')
Nunez (24'), Schwartau (77'), Gordon (90+4'), McLean (90+5')

Belloumi (14'), Drameh (57'), Pedro (76'), Coyle (90')
Jan 12, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Hull City
1-2
Norwich
Morton (90+1')
Tufan (50'), Slater (52')
Rowe (36'), Fassnacht (88')
McLean (23'), Giannoulis (34'), Nunez (38'), Rowe (39')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Norwich
2-1
Hull City
Rowe (45+3'), Idah (90+6')
Gibson (34'), Duffy (90')
Delap (17')
Greaves (27'), Traore (30'), Vinagre (34'), Michael Seri (41'), Ingram (90+5')
Rosenior (28')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Norwich
3-1
Hull City
Dowell (18'), Sara (58'), Sargent (89')
Greaves (14')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Hull City
2-1
Norwich
Estupinan (43', 62')
Sayyadmanesh (90+6')
Nunez (72')
Omobamidele (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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