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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Hull City |
| 53% ( | 25.24% ( | 21.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.43% ( | 54.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.09% ( | 75.91% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( | 20.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.87% ( | 53.13% ( |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.85% ( | 40.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.21% ( | 76.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% ( 2-0 @ 10.32% ( 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 4-1 @ 1.96% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 53% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0-2 @ 3.44% ( 1-3 @ 1.66% ( 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.75% |