Championship

Championship | Gameweek 33

Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
3 - 1
Swansea

Burger (64'), Bae (73'), Baker (90+3')
Pearson (41'), Baker (78'), Moran (85'), Moran (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tymon (61')
Cabango (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Swansea City
40.53% ( -0.05)	26.96% ( -0.01)	32.5% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.31% (

0.03)

54.69% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.98% (

0.02)

76.02% (

-0.03)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5% (

-0.01)

26.5% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.31% (

-0.01)

61.69% (

0.01)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.64% (

0.05)

31.35% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.28% (

0.06)

67.72% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 40.52%

Swansea City 32.51%

Draw 26.96%

Stoke City	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.52%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.51%