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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol City.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 40.29% ( | 26.99% ( | 32.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.24% ( | 54.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% ( | 76.07% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( | 26.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.09% ( | 61.91% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( | 31.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.41% ( | 67.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.28% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 2-2 @ 4.93% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 2-3 @ 1.91% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.72% |