Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Elland Road
  • Ao Tanaka 31' yellowcard
  • Jayden Bogle 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Pascal Struijk 78' goal
  • Junior Firpo 90' yellowcard
  • Pascal Struijk 90'+5' goal
  • goal Wilson Isidor 32'
  • yellowcard Wilson Isidor 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jobe Bellingham 56'
  • yellowcard Trai Hume 61'
  • yellowcard Dennis Cirkin 80'
  • yellowcard Anthony Patterson 83'
  • yellowcard Luke O'Nien 90'+3'

Leeds United vs Sunderland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
Watford 0 - 4 Leeds
Goals scored
95
Top scorer
Joel Piroe

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2025 7.45pm
Sunderland 2 - 0 Luton
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Wilson Isidor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 13.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result

Leeds United 66.63% (-0.43)
Draw 19.89% (+0.25)
Sunderland 13.48% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.84% (-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.23% (-0.69)
Under 2.5 45.77% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 31.91% (-0.66)
Under 3.5 68.09% (+0.65)
Over 4.5 16.01% (-0.47)
Under 4.5 83.98% (+0.47)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 87.17% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 12.82% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 60.83% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 39.16% (+0.67)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 54.88% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 45.11% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 18.97% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 81.02% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Leeds United 66.62%
Draw 19.89%
Sunderland 13.48%
Leeds United
2-0 @ 12.2% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 11.88% (+0.21)
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 8.35% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 4.29% (-0.09)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.76% (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 66.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.46% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 5.79% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 19.89%
Sunderland
0-1 @ 4.61% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 3.76% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.83% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 13.48%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 4, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium of Light
  • Chris Rigg 9' goal
  • Jobe Bellingham 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Neill 61' yellowcard
  • Chris Rigg 65' yellowcard
  • Junior Firpo 90'+7' goal
  • goal Joel Piroe 22'
  • yellowcard Joe Rodon 39'
  • goal Junior Firpo 56'
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 68'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 9, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
  • Glen Kamara 70' yellowcard
  • Junior Firpo 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Ballard 21'
  • yellowcard Luke O'Nien 46'
  • yellowcard Chris Rigg 57'
  • yellowcard Jobe Bellingham 62'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium of Light
  • Luke O'Nien 40' yellowcard
  • Jobe Bellingham 78' goal
  • yellowcard Archie Gray 28'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel James 70'
Championship
Apr 7, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pablo Hernandez 72' goal
  • Paudie O'Connor 75' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 83' yellowcard
  • Pontus Jansson 90' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Berardi 90' redcard
  • yellowcard George Honeyman 12'
  • goal Paddy McNair 49'
  • yellowcard Lamine Kone 70'
  • yellowcard Callum McManaman 90'
Championship
Aug 19, 2017 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Brendan Galloway 36' yellowcard
  • Lamine Kone 69' yellowcard
  • Didier Ndong 82' yellowcard
  • goal Samu Saiz 21'
  • yellowcard Felix Wiedwald 68'
  • goal Stuart Dallas 76'
FA Cup
Jan 4, 2015 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Patrick van Aanholt 33' goal
  • Liam Bridcutt 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Murphy 35'