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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 9, 2025 at 12pm UK
Fratton Park
Leeds logo

Portsmouth
1 - 0
Leeds

Bishop (61')
Poole (43'), Botts (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.32%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawLeeds United
17.95% (-0.867 -0.87)23.21% (0.534 0.53)58.84% (0.331 0.33)
Both teams to score 47.62% (-3.129 -3.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (-3.39 -3.39)51.41% (3.389 3.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-3.036 -3.04)73.22% (3.034 3.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.5% (-2.991 -2.99)42.5% (2.989 2.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.13% (-2.664 -2.66)78.87% (2.663 2.66)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.83% (-1.079 -1.08)17.17% (1.078 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.57% (-1.937 -1.94)47.43% (1.937 1.94)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 17.95%
    Leeds United 58.82%
    Draw 23.21%
PortsmouthDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.25% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 4.71% (-0.301 -0.3)
2-0 @ 2.67% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.233 -0.23)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 17.95%
1-1 @ 11% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.94 0.94)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.427 -0.43)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 12.85% (1.24 1.24)
0-2 @ 11.32% (0.71 0.71)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-3 @ 6.65% (0.193 0.19)
1-3 @ 5.69% (-0.307 -0.31)
0-4 @ 2.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.51% (-0.233 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-5 @ 1.03% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 58.82%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Leeds

Portsmouth
10.0%
Draw
11.7%
Leeds United
78.3%
60
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Leeds
3-3
Portsmouth
Struijk (10' pen.), Gnonto (46'), Aaronson (90+5')
Rodon (40'), Struijk (78')
Sorensen (23'), Lang (41', 90+2')
Lang (6'), Dozzell (45'), Ogilvie (57'), Towler (86')
Feb 25, 2012 3pm
Oct 1, 2011 3pm
Jan 22, 2011 3pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Leeds
Ward (26'), Utaka (61')
Rocha (85')
Becchio (47')
Connolly (18')
Dec 28, 2010 3pm
Leeds
3-3
Portsmouth
Gradel (7'), Howson (10'), Johnson (62')
McCartney (83'), Schmeichel (90')
O'Brien (63' og., 90'), Nugent (33')
Mokoena (65'), Kitson (90')
rhs 2.0


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