Championship

Championship | Gameweek 34

Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
2 - 1
QPR

Murphy (48'), Ritchie (51')
Ogilvie (17'), Poole (86'), Saydee (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dunne (74')
Frey (45+4'), Chair (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 4-0 Derby
Friday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
45.19% ( -0.07)	26.36% ( 0.05)	28.45% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.17% (

-0.2)

53.82% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.71% (

-0.17)

75.29% (

0.17)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.26% (

-0.12)

23.74% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.12% (

-0.18)

57.88% (

0.18)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.16% (

-0.09)

33.84% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.5% (

-0.1)

70.5% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 45.19%

Queens Park Rangers 28.45%

Draw 26.35%

Portsmouth	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 45.19%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.33% Total : 28.45%