Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.