Championship

Championship | Gameweek 32

Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Cardiff

Bishop (9'), Shaughnessy (17')
Lang (75'), Ogilvie (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

O'Dowda (22')
Goutas (76'), Salech (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Cardiff City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 3-3 Cardiff (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Cardiff City
46.99% ( -0.03)	25.62% ( -0.02)	27.39% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 51.98% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.5% (

0.1)

51.5% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.7% (

0.09)

73.3% (

-0.09)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.08% (

0.03)

21.91% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.82% (

0.05)

55.18% (

-0.05)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.57% (

0.09)

33.43% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.94% (

0.1)

70.06% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 46.99%

Cardiff City 27.39%

Draw 25.61%

Portsmouth	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.99%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 27.39%