Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Iheanacho (48'), Borges (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Helik (38')
Harris (58'), Romeny (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 0-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 13.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.14%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Oxford United
65.22% ( 0.12)	21.3% ( -0.04)	13.48% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 43.57% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.45% (

0.01)

51.55% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.66% (

73.34% (

-0)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.93% (

0.04)

15.07% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.4% (

0.08)

43.6% (

-0.08)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.31% (

-0.12)

48.69% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.27% (

-0.09)

83.73% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 65.22%

Oxford United 13.48%

Draw 21.3%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 13.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 65.22%	1-1 @ 10% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.3%	0-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 13.48%