Championship

Championship | Gameweek 35

Mar 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Derby

Azaz (80')
Azaz (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barkhuizen (19'), Forsyth (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 1-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, February 22 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw has a probability of 24.5% and a win for Derby County has a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Derby County win it is 0-1 (7.05%).

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Derby County
55.26% ( -1.03)	24.54% ( 0.36)	20.2% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 47.45% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.43% (

-0.52)

53.57% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.92% (

-0.44)

75.08% (

0.45)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.7% (

-0.59)

19.3% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.94% (

-0.99)

51.05% (

0.99)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.8% (

0.44)

41.2% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.27% (

0.39)

77.73% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 55.25%

Derby County 20.2%

Draw 24.54%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 55.25%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.2%