Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Wrexham AFC
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Luton
0 - 0
Middlesbrough


Brown (64'), Walsh (67')
FT

Iling-Junior (24'), Dijksteel (75'), Hackney (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 QPR
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawMiddlesbrough
32.13% (-0.194 -0.19)26.39% (0.088000000000001 0.09)41.48% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.14% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.51% (-0.418 -0.42)52.49% (0.419 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.84% (-0.359 -0.36)74.15% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (-0.34 -0.34)30.49% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.407 -0.41)66.71% (0.40899999999999 0.41)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (-0.131 -0.13)24.99% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36% (-0.185 -0.19)59.64% (0.186 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 32.13%
    Middlesbrough 41.48%
    Draw 26.39%
Luton TownDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.064 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.13%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 10.56% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.33% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.39% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 41.48%

How you voted: Luton vs Middlesbrough

Luton Town
31.9%
Draw
14.9%
Middlesbrough
53.2%
47
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
5-1
Luton
Burgzorg (30', 54'), Latte Lath (43'), Azaz (51', 87')
Burgzorg (31')
Clark (77')
Baptiste (15'), Hashioka (49'), Clark (62'), Morris (66')
Apr 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 44
Luton
2-1
Middlesbrough
Lockyer (49'), Morris (67' pen.)
Archer (40')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Middlesbrough
2-1
Luton
Akpom (38'), Crooks (90+1')
Clark (33')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
2-1
Luton
McNair (17' pen.), Watmore (87')
Lumley (90+1'), Coburn (90+3')
Cornick (90+6')
Jerome (20'), Hylton (50'), Lansbury (61')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Luton
3-1
Middlesbrough
Bradley (57'), Adebayo (60'), Cornick (62')
Potts (30'), Bree (31'), Onyedinma (70'), Lansbury (79')
Coburn (15')
Crooks (39'), Coburn (59'), Watmore (74')