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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Luton Town

Cardiff
1 - 2
Luton

Chambers (50')
O'Dowda (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clark (57'), Aasgaard (80')
Jones (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Luton
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
51.37% (-0.163 -0.16)26.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)22.46% (0.166 0.17)
Both teams to score 45.83% (0.20200000000001 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.76% (0.165 0.16)57.24% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.91% (0.13 0.13)78.09% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.88% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.03% (0.261 0.26)40.96% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.47% (0.23 0.23)77.52% (-0.232 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 51.37%
    Luton Town 22.46%
    Draw 26.16%
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 13.72% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 10.27% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 51.37%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.17% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.63% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.46%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Luton

Cardiff City
70.7%
Draw
13.8%
Luton Town
15.5%
58
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 14
Luton
1-0
Cardiff
Brown (57')
Morris (43'), Mengi (84')

Goutas (86')
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
1-0
Cardiff
Adebayo (88')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Luton
Sawyers (85')
Freeman (47'), Osho (62')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Cardiff
0-1
Luton

Bagan (55')
Cornick (71')
Naismith (90+3')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')