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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 51.37% ( | 26.17% ( | 22.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.76% ( | 57.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.91% ( | 78.09% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( | 22.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.12% ( | 55.88% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.03% ( | 40.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.47% ( | 77.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.72% ( 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 3-0 @ 5.13% ( 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 4-1 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 51.37% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 2-2 @ 4.09% ( Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.23% Total : 22.46% |