Championship

Championship | Gameweek 36

Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
4 - 0
Luton

McGuinness (30' og.), Foster (39'), Brownhill (53'), Barnes (90+4')
Cullen (16'), Pires (41'), Esteve (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Naismith (12'), Clark (53'), Nelson (80')
Naismith (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Burnley
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 62.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 14.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Luton Town
62.54% ( 0.91)	22.6% ( -0.42)	14.86% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 43.22% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.07% (

0.72)

53.93% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.62% (

0.6)

75.38% (

-0.6)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.22% (

0.57)

16.78% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.27% (

1.01)

46.73% (

-1.02)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.93% (

-0.26)

48.07% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.72% (

-0.19)

83.28% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Burnley 62.54%

Luton Town 14.86%

Draw 22.6%

Burnley	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 14.39% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 62.54%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.6%	0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 14.86%