FA Cup

FA Cup | Fifth Round

Mar 1, 2025 at 12.15pm UK

Deepdale

Preston
3 - 0
Burnley

Brady (31'), Osmajic (44'), Keane (73')
Teitur Thordarson (28'), Kesler (35'), Ledson (67'), Ledson (67')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pires (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Preston North End and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Preston
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Burnley

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Sheff Weds
Friday, February 21 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burnley win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Preston North End has a probability of 28.74% and a draw has a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Preston North End win is 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.16%).

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Burnley
28.74% ( 0.06)	28.56% ( -0.01)	42.7% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 44.42% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.4% (

0.05)

61.6% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.56% (

0.04)

81.44% (

-0.03)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.19% (

0.07)

37.81% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.42% (

0.07)

74.58% (

-0.07)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.42% (

28.58% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.62%

64.38% (

Score Analysis

Preston North End 28.73%

Burnley 42.7%

Draw 28.56%

Preston North End	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 28.73%	1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.56%	0-1 @ 13.53% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 42.7%