Championship

Championship | Gameweek 35

Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
1 - 2
Burnley

Salech (42')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Brownhill (19'), Esteve (40')
Trafford (90+1'), Sarmiento (90+4'), Pires (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Cardiff
Friday, February 28 at 8pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Preston 3-0 Burnley
Saturday, March 1 at 12.15pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Burnley
31.17% ( 1.62)	29.5% ( 1.05)	39.33% ( -2.68)

Both teams to score 42.91% (

-2.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.07% (

-3)

63.92% (

2.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.87% (

-2.19)

83.13% (

2.19)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.8% (

-0.4)

37.19% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.02% (

-0.4)

73.98% (

0.39)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.32% (

-3.04)

31.68% (

3.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.9% (

-3.65)

68.1% (

3.65)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 31.16%

Burnley 39.32%

Draw 29.49%

Cardiff City	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 11.65% ( 1.12) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.79% Total : 31.16%	1-1 @ 13.39% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 11.78% ( 1.24) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.49%	0-1 @ 13.54% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.46) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.54) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.48) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.32%