Championship

Championship | Gameweek 36

Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
2 - 1
Cardiff

Mayenda (2'), Mepham (77')
Hjelde (56')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Davies (41')
Chambers (63'), Bagan (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-2 Sunderland
Friday, February 28 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Cardiff City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Burnley
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 14.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Cardiff City
65.12% ( 0.08)	20.47% ( -0.03)	14.42% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48.46% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.74% (

0.02)

46.26% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.45% (

0.02)

68.55% (

-0.02)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.59% (

0.03)

13.42% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.63% (

0.06)

40.37% (

-0.06)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.97% (

-0.06)

44.03% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.86% (

-0.04)

80.15% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 65.1%

Cardiff City 14.42%

Draw 20.47%

Sunderland	Draw	Cardiff City
2-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 65.1%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 20.47%	0-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 14.42%