Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.