Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.