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Championship header 2

Championship

Swansea logo
Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Swansea
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Eom (26')
Franco (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dijksteel (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Preston 0-0 Swansea
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Derby
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
34.25% (0.027000000000001 0.03)25.2% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)40.55% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.69% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (0.054000000000002 0.05)46.88% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.87% (0.049999999999997 0.05)69.13% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (0.042999999999992 0.04)26.4% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (0.057000000000002 0.06)61.56% (-0.055 -0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.97% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24% (0.024000000000001 0.02)56.76% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 34.25%
    Middlesbrough 40.55%
    Draw 25.2%
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 34.25%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.55%

How you voted: Swansea vs Middlesbrough

Swansea City
40.5%
Draw
32.4%
Middlesbrough
27.0%
37
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