Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 16.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.