Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 14.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.