Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 17.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.