Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Watford

Dembele (82')
Placheta (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sierralta (51'), Abankwah (67')
Abankwah (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Hull City 2-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-0 Swansea
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oxford United in this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Watford
37.36% ( -0.2)	26.17% ( 0.05)	36.47% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 53.65% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.09% (

-0.22)

50.91% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.21% (

-0.2)

72.79% (

0.19)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5% (

-0.22)

26.5% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.31% (

-0.28)

61.69% (

0.28)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.99% (

-0.02)

27% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.64% (

-0.03)

62.36% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 37.36%

Watford 36.47%

Draw 26.17%

Oxford United	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.36%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.08% Total : 36.47%