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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Swansea logo

Leeds
2 - 2
Swansea

Aaronson (1'), Gnonto (86')
Ampadu (34'), Gnonto (87'), Tanaka (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Darling (64'), Vipotnik (90+6')
Delcroix (39'), Franco (70'), O'Brien (83'), Cullen (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 2-2 Leeds
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 76.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 8.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.72%) and 1-0 (10.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawSwansea City
76.39% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)15.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)8.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Both teams to score 45.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58%39.41% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24%61.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)8.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.29% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.31% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)50.68% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)85.12% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 76.37%
    Swansea City 8.32%
    Draw 15.28%
Leeds UnitedDrawSwansea City
2-0 @ 13.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 10.72%
1-0 @ 10.69%
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 7.29%
4-0 @ 6.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.48%
5-1 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.52%
6-0 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 76.37%
1-1 @ 7.27%
0-0 @ 4.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 15.28%
0-1 @ 2.96%
1-2 @ 2.47%
0-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 8.32%

How you voted: Leeds vs Swansea

Leeds United
84.5%
Draw
8.6%
Swansea City
6.9%
58
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Swansea
3-4
Leeds
Darling (8'), Cullen (45+3'), Bianchini (90')
Peart-Harris (90+2')
Solomon (20', 73'), Cabango (55' og.), Gnonto (90+1')
James (53'), Byram (57')
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Swansea
0-4
Leeds

Wood (28'), Tymon (42'), Allen (68')
Summerville (8'), Piroe (10'), Gnonto (35', 72')
Piroe (65')
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Leeds
3-1
Swansea
Piroe (4'), Rutter (45+3'), James (61')
Paterson (1')
Lowe (73')
Jul 12, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 43
Swansea
0-1
Leeds
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Leeds
0-1
Swansea

Alioski (21'), Phillips (95')
Routledge (90')
Fulton (78'), Byers (95')
rhs 2.0


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