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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Burnley |
32.99% (![]() | 27.78% (![]() | 39.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.32% (![]() | 57.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.56% (![]() | 78.44% (![]() |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.45% (![]() | 32.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.92% (![]() | 69.09% (![]() |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.37% (![]() | 28.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.56% (![]() | 64.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 10.46% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.34% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.99% | 1-1 @ 13.08% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.32% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 11.65% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 44 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 94 |
2 | Burnley | 44 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 94 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 44 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 60 | 35 | 25 | 86 |
4 | Sunderland | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 76 |
5 | Bristol City | 44 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 67 |
6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 62 | 57 | 5 | 66 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 63 |
8 | Millwall | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 63 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 62 |
10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 14 | 18 | 12 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 60 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 60 |
12 | Watford | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 51 | 58 | -7 | 56 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 56 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 67 | 66 | 1 | 53 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 44 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 53 |
16 | Portsmouth | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 56 | 69 | -13 | 52 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 50 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 10 | 19 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 49 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 49 |
20 | Hull City | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 48 |
21 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 46 |
22 | Luton TownLuton | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 41 | 64 | -23 | 46 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 9 | 16 | 19 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 43 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 48 | 85 | -37 | 43 |
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