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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
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Jay Fulton
74'
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Josh Brownhill
4'
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Jaidon Anthony
22'
Swansea City vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Swansea City
32.99%
▼
(-0.31)
Draw
27.78%
▼
(-0.04)
Burnley
39.24%
▲
(+0.35)
Both Teams to Score:
48.14%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.32%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
57.68%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
21.56%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
78.44%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 4.5
9.25%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
90.75%
▼
(-0.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
67.45%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
32.55%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
30.92%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
69.09%
▲
(+0.21)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
71.37%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 0.5
28.64%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 1.5
35.56%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 1.5
64.45%
▼
(-0.28)
Score analysis
Swansea City
32.99%
Draw
27.78%
Burnley
39.23%
Swansea City
1-0
@
10.46%
▼
(-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.99%
2-1 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.99%
Draw
1-1
@
13.08%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.78%
0-0 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.78%
Burnley
0-1
@
11.65%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 39.23%
1-2 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 39.23%