Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
0 - 2
Burnley

Fulton (74')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Brownhill (4'), Anthony (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-0 Swansea
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 West Brom
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Burnley
32.99% ( -0.31)	27.78% ( -0.03)	39.24% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 48.14% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.32% (

0.07)

57.68% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.56% (

0.05)

78.44% (

-0.05)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.45% (

-0.17)

32.55% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.92% (

-0.2)

69.09% (

0.2)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.37% (

0.23)

28.64% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.56% (

0.28)

64.45% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 32.99%

Burnley 39.23%

Draw 27.78%

Swansea City	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.99%	1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.78%	0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.23%