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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 37.25% ( | 27.9% ( | 34.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.08% ( | 57.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.37% ( | 78.63% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% ( | 29.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.97% ( | 66.03% ( |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( | 31.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.19% ( | 67.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 4-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 2-2 @ 4.58% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 2-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.84% |