Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.