Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
3 - 1
QPR

Bae (21'), Tchamadeu (44'), Manhoef (54')
Pearson (67')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Yang (78')
Varane (43'), Colback (58'), Yang (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 2-2 Leeds
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
44.91% ( -0.1)	26.81% ( 0.03)	28.28% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 49.01% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.36% (

-0.07)

55.64% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.2% (

-0.06)

76.8% (

0.06)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.32% (

-0.08)

24.67% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.8% (

-0.11)

59.2% (

0.11)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.07% (

0.02)

34.93% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.33% (

0.02)

71.67% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 44.9%

Queens Park Rangers 28.28%

Draw 26.81%

Stoke City	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.9%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 28.28%