Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 15, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 0
Stoke

Ivanovic (90+4' pen.)
Emakhu (30'), Connolly (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Koumas (63'), Tchamadeu (76'), (90+4'), Wilmot (90+2'), Thompson (90+3'), Burger (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Millwall
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Blackburn
Wednesday, March 12 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Stoke City
48.32% ( 0.04)	27.36% ( 0.08)	24.31% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 44.52% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.09% (

-0.35)

59.9% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.83% (

-0.27)

80.16% (

0.27)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07% (

-0.14)

24.92% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.45% (

-0.19)

59.55% (

0.19)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.3% (

-0.32)

40.69% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.72% (

-0.28)

77.27% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Millwall 48.31%

Stoke City 24.31%

Draw 27.35%

Millwall	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 14.08% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 48.31%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.35%	0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.28% Total : 24.31%