/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
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Aidomo Emakhu
30'
-
Aaron Connolly
76'
-
Mihailo Ivanovic
90'+4'
-
Lewis Koumas
63'
-
Junior Tchamadeu
76'
-
Ben Wilmot
90'+2'
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Jordan Thompson
90'+3'
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Wouter Burger
90'+3'
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90'+4'
Millwall vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F09%2Falex-neil.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.
Result
Millwall
48.32%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
27.36%
▲
(+0.08)
Stoke City
24.31%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
44.52%
▼
(-0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.09%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 2.5
59.9%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 3.5
19.83%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 3.5
80.16%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 4.5
8.24%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 4.5
91.76%
▲
(+0.16)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5
75.07%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
24.92%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
40.45%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
59.55%
▲
(+0.19)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
59.3%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 0.5
40.69%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 1.5
22.72%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
77.27%
▲
(+0.28)
Score analysis
Millwall
48.31%
Draw
27.35%
Stoke City
24.31%
Millwall
1-0
@
14.08%
▲
(+0.12)
2-0 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 48.31%
2-0 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 48.31%
Draw
1-1
@
12.66%
0-0 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.35%
0-0 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.35%
Stoke City
0-1
@
9.12%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 24.31%
1-2 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 24.31%