Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT The Coventry Building Society Arena
  • Victor Torp 22' goal
  • Victor Torp 31' goal
  • Matt Grimes 89' yellowcard
  • Bobby Thomas 90'+7' goal
  • goal Sam Gallagher 65'
  • yellowcard Ashley Phillips 77'
  • goal Sam Gallagher 86'
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 90'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 90'+6'

Coventry City vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 12.30pm
Oxford Utd 2 - 3 Coventry
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Haji Wright

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
Stoke 0 - 0 Watford
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tom Cannon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result

Coventry City 55% (-1.89)
Draw 23.09% (+1.00)
Stoke City 21.91% (+0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.27% (-2.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.28% (-3.29)
Under 2.5 45.73% (+3.30)
Over 3.5 31.95% (-3.21)
Under 3.5 68.05% (+3.21)
Over 4.5 16.04% (-2.34)
Under 4.5 83.96% (+2.35)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5 83.5% (-1.78)
Under 0.5 16.5% (+1.79)
Over 1.5 53.78% (-3.31)
Under 1.5 46.23% (+3.31)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 64.99% (-1.01)
Under 0.5 35.01% (+1.01)
Over 1.5 28.25% (-1.07)
Under 1.5 71.75% (+1.08)

Score analysis

Coventry City 54.99%
Draw 23.09%
Stoke City 21.91%
Coventry City
1-0 @ 10.4% (+0.82)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 9.38% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.42)
3-0 @ 5.63% (-0.24)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.32)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.37)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.28)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.24)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 54.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92% (+0.59)
0-0 @ 5.78% (+0.78)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.19)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.09%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 6.06% (+0.67)
1-2 @ 5.73% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 3.18% (+0.27)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.11% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 21.91%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Jordan Thompson 69' yellowcard
  • Lewis Baker 78' goal
  • Josh Laurent 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Binks 3'
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Jordan Thompson 8' yellowcard
  • Lewis Baker 45' yellowcard
  • goal Ellis Simms 51'
  • yellowcard Callum O'Hare 86'
Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Coventry Building Society Arena
  • Liam Kitching 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mehdi Leris 61'
Championship Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Jacob Brown 6'
  • goal Tyrese Campbell 40'
  • goal William Smallbone 71'
  • goal Ki-Jana Hoever 77'
Championship Gameweek 17
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • goal Jamie Allen 51'
  • goal Gustavo Hamer 65'
Championship Gameweek 46
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Sam Clucas 43' goal
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 14'
  • yellowcard 62'
  • yellowcard Dominic Hyam 89'