Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2025 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Isaiah Jones 15' goal
  • Isaiah Jones 22' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel James 28'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 40'
  • yellowcard Manor Solomon 59'

Luton Town vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 12.30pm
Hull City 0 - 1 Luton
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Carlton Morris

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
Leeds 2 - 2 Swansea
Goals scored
95
Top scorer
Joel Piroe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw has a probability of 24.2% and a win for Luton Town has a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Luton Town win it is 1-0 (6.83%).

Result

Luton Town 20.43% (+0.31)
Draw 24.18% (+0.20)
Leeds United 55.39% (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.81% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.06% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 51.94% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 26.31% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 73.69% (+0.34)
Over 4.5 12.2% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 87.8% (+0.23)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 59.98% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 40.02% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 23.33% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 76.67% (-0.10)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 81.37% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 18.63% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 50.06% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 49.94% (+0.57)

Score analysis

Luton Town 20.43%
Draw 24.17%
Leeds United 55.38%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 6.83% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 5.26% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 3.13% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 1.6% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 20.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.46% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.17%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 12.52% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 10.52% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.9% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 5.4% (-0.08)
0-4 @ 2.48% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.27% (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 55.38%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 17
Nov 27, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Elland Road
  • Sam Byram 10' goal
  • Joel Piroe 45'+1' goal
  • Daniel James 81' goal
  • Jordan Clark 90' yellowcard
  • Largie Ramazani 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daiki Hashioka 50'
  • yellowcard Joe Rodon 68'
Championship Gameweek 40
Jun 30, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
  • Stuart Dallas 63' goal
  • yellowcard Callum McManaman 2'
  • goal Harry Cornick 50'
  • yellowcard Cameron Carter-Vickers 55'
  • yellowcard Harry Cornick 79'
  • yellowcard Daniel Potts 87'
  • yellowcard James Collins 88'
Championship
Nov 23, 2019 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • James Collins 54' goal
  • goal Patrick Bamford 51'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 53'
  • goal Matty Pearson 90' (OG)
EFL Cup
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Olly Lee 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Grimes 1'
  • goal Tyler Denton 23'
  • yellowcard Lewie Coyle 62'
League One
Jan 26, 2008 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sam Parkin 90' goal
  • goal Paul Huntington 27'
  • yellowcard Paul Huntington 28'
  • yellowcard Casper Ankergren 79'
League One
Sep 1, 2007 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tresor Kandol 44' goal