Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 5, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 1
Leeds

Jones (15')
Jones (22')

FT(HT: 1-1)

James (28')
Bogle (40'), Solomon (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Luton
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw has a probability of 24.2% and a win for Luton Town has a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Luton Town win it is 1-0 (6.83%).

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Leeds United
20.43% ( 1.02)	24.18% ( 0.5)	55.39% ( -1.52)

Both teams to score 48.81% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.06% (

-0.7)

51.94% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.31% (

-0.61)

73.69% (

0.61)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.98% (

0.7)

40.02% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.33% (

0.63)

76.67% (

-0.63)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.37% (

-0.83)

18.63% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.06% (

-1.41)

49.94% (

1.41)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 20.43%

Leeds United 55.38%

Draw 24.17%

Luton Town	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.43%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.17%	0-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.52% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.9% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 55.38%