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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 51.46% ( | 25.25% ( | 23.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.88% ( | 53.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.3% ( | 74.7% ( |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% ( | 20.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.77% ( | 53.22% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.16% | 37.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.39% | 74.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% 2-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.55% Total : 51.45% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 2-2 @ 4.59% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 1-2 @ 5.82% 0-2 @ 3.69% ( 1-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.49% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.29% |