Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 77.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 7.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 3-0 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.