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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 77.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 7.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 3-0 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Preston North End |
| 77.63% ( | 15.22% ( | 7.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 39.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.46% ( | 43.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.07% ( | 65.93% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.69% ( | 9.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.58% ( | 31.42% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.58% ( | 56.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.29% ( | 88.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Preston North End |
| 2-0 @ 14.8% ( 1-0 @ 12.47% ( 3-0 @ 11.71% ( 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 4-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 4-1 @ 3.98% ( 5-0 @ 3.3% ( 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 5-1 @ 1.89% ( 6-0 @ 1.31% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 77.62% | 1-1 @ 7.14% ( 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 2-2 @ 2.43% ( Other @ 0.4% Total : 15.22% | 0-1 @ 3.01% ( 1-2 @ 2.04% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 7.16% |