Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Elland Road
  • Manor Solomon 4' goal
  • Jayden Bogle 13' goal
  • Karl Darlow 72' yellowcard
  • Ethan Ampadu 87' yellowcard
  • goal Kaine Kesler 6'
  • yellowcard Andrew Hughes 45'+1'

Leeds United vs Preston North End - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 8, 2025 8.00pm
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Leeds
Goals scored
95
Top scorer
Joel Piroe

Preston North End

All competitions
Last game
Apr 8, 2025 7.45pm
Preston 2 - 2 Cardiff
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Emil Riis Jakobsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 77.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 7.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 3-0 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result

Leeds United 77.63% (+0.01)
Draw 15.22% (+0.05)
Preston North End 7.16% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.52% (-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.46% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 43.54% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 34.07% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 65.93% (+0.35)
Over 4.5 17.58% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 82.43% (+0.26)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 90.69% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 9.31% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 68.58% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 31.42% (+0.20)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5 43.58% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 56.42% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 11.29% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 88.71% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Leeds United 77.62%
Draw 15.22%
Preston North End 7.16%
Leeds United
2-0 @ 14.8% (+0.12)
1-0 @ 12.47% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 11.71% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 6.95%
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 3.98% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 3.3% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.03)
6-0 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 77.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.14% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.26% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 2.43% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 15.22%
Preston North End
0-1 @ 3.01% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 2.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 7.16%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Deepdale
  • Brad Potts 23' goal
  • Ben Whiteman 32' yellowcard
  • Milutin Osmajic 58' yellowcard
  • Liam Lindsay 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Farke 37'
  • yellowcard Daniel James 39'
  • goal Jack Whatmough 90'+3' (OG)
Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2024 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Elland Road
  • Daniel James 6' goal
  • Crysencio Summerville 38' yellowcard
  • Georginio Rutter 67' yellowcard
  • Junior Firpo 76' yellowcard
  • Patrick Bamford 85' yellowcard
  • Joel Piroe 90'+4' goal
  • goal Will Keane 2'
  • yellowcard Ben Whiteman 8'
  • yellowcard Ali McCann 34'
  • yellowcard Liam Lindsay 62'
  • yellowcard David Cornell 83'
  • yellowcard Ryan Ledson 85'
  • yellowcard Layton Stewart 86'
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Deepdale
  • Brad Potts 22' yellowcard
  • Ali McCann 30' yellowcard
  • Milutin Osmajic 54' yellowcard
  • Alan Browne 57' goal
  • Duane Holmes 80' yellowcard
  • Alan Browne 87' yellowcard
  • Liam Millar 89' goal
  • redcard Illan Meslier 53'
  • yellowcard Joe Rodon 54'
  • goal Pascal Struijk 83'
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2019 5.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kalvin Phillips 73' yellowcard
  • Stuart Dallas 80' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 80' yellowcard
  • Stuart Dallas 89' goal
  • goal Alan Browne 22'
  • yellowcard Ben Pearson 68'
  • yellowcard Paul Huntington 72'
  • yellowcard Ryan Ledson 75'
  • yellowcard Tom Clarke 80'
Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tom Barkhuizen 74' goal
  • Darnell Fisher 86' yellowcard
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 87'
Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Deepdale Stadium (Preston)
  • Ben Pearson 14' yellowcard
  • Ben Davies 45' yellowcard
  • Ben Pearson 49' redcard
  • goal Patrick Bamford 62'
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 67'
  • goal Patrick Bamford 76'
  • yellowcard Kalvin Phillips 81'