FA Cup
Mar 30, 2025 1.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Deepdale
  • Will Keane 28' yellowcard
  • Ben Whiteman 67' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Rashford 58'
  • goal Marcus Rashford 63'
  • goal Jacob Ramsey 71'

Preston North End vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions

Aston Villa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result

Preston North End 35.6% (+0.64)
Draw 27.15% (-0.13)
Aston Villa 37.25% (-0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.43% (+0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.03% (+0.53)
Under 2.5 54.97% (-0.53)
Over 3.5 23.75% (+0.44)
Under 3.5 76.25% (-0.43)
Over 4.5 10.58% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 89.42% (-0.27)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5 70.51% (+0.66)
Under 0.5 29.49% (-0.66)
Over 1.5 34.5% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 65.5% (-0.80)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 71.51% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 28.49% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 35.74% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 64.26% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Preston North End 35.59%
Draw 27.15%
Aston Villa 37.24%
Preston North End
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.87% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 6.26% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.2% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 2.55% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.01% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 35.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 4.94% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.15%
Aston Villa
0-1 @ 10.54% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.62% (-0.16)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.77% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.07% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 37.24%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Deepdale Stadium (Preston)
  • Daniel Johnson 52' yellowcard
  • Paul Gallagher 59' yellowcard
  • Lukas Nmecha 61' goal
  • goal Tammy Abraham 45'
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 59'
  • yellowcard Alan Hutton 70'
Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park (Birmingham)
  • Jonathan Kodjia 26' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 37' goal
  • James Chester 54' redcard
  • Jack Grealish 71' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 78' yellowcard
  • Yannick Bolasie 90' goal
  • goal Daniel Johnson 56'
  • yellowcard Ben Davies 64'
  • goal Paul Gallagher 79'
  • goal Louis Moult 86'
  • yellowcard Lukas Nmecha 87'
  • yellowcard Ben Pearson 89'
  • yellowcard Daniel Johnson 90'
Championship
Feb 20, 2018 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Birkir Bjarnason 22' yellowcard
  • Mile Jedinak 51' yellowcard
  • Lewis Grabban 66' goal
  • John Terry 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darnell Fisher 34'
  • goal Tom Barkhuizen 37'
  • yellowcard Ben Pearson 65'
  • yellowcard Declan Rudd 90'
Championship
Nov 1, 2017 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Alan Browne 55' yellowcard
  • goal James Chester 12'
  • goal Robert Snodgrass 33'
  • yellowcard Keinan Davis 63'
Championship
Jan 21, 2017 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Albert Adomah 22' goal
  • Albert Adomah 36' goal
  • Albert Adomah 41' yellowcard
  • Jordan Amavi 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Browne 19'
  • yellowcard Jordan Hugill 63'
  • goal Jordan Hugill 64'
  • yellowcard Marnick Vermijl 68'
  • goal Jordan Hugill 76'
  • yellowcard Aiden McGeady 94'
Championship
Oct 1, 2016 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ben Pearson 5' goal
  • Jordan Hugill 39' goal
  • Ben Pearson 44' yellowcard
  • Greg Cunningham 61' yellowcard
  • John Welsh 87' yellowcard
  • Bailey Wright 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Hutton 42'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 44'
  • yellowcard Mile Jedinak 45'
  • yellowcard Jordan Amavi 85'

Build-up

News
News
Predicted Lineups