Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 12, 2025 at 8pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
3 - 0
Brugge

(Aston Villa win 6-1 on aggregate)

Asensio (50', 61'), Maatsen (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vanaken (69')
Sabbe (16')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Brentford 0-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, March 8 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Club Brugge

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-3 Brugge
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Club Brugge
49.99% ( -0.93)	22.5% ( 0.2)	27.51% ( 0.73)

Both teams to score 62.59% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.43% (

-0.36)

37.57% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.2% (

-0.38)

59.8% (

0.38)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.69% (

-0.45)

15.31% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.96% (

-0.84)

44.04% (

0.84)

Club Brugge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.9% (

0.32)

26.09% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.85% (

0.43)

61.14% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 49.99%

Club Brugge 27.51%

Draw 22.5%

Aston Villa	Draw	Club Brugge
2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.98% Total : 49.99%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.5%	1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 27.51%