Premier League Gameweek 28
Brentford
Mar 8, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Brentford Community Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Kristoffer Ajer 67' yellowcard
  • Nathan Collins 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John McGinn 42'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 49'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 81'

Brentford vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2025 7.30pm
Brentford 1 - 1 Everton
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Bryan Mbeumo

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2025 7.30pm
Crystal Palace 4 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Brentford 39.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 24.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Aston Villa 36.28% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.94% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 41.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 36.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 63.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 19.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 80.91% ▲ (+0.03)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 78.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 21.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 46.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 53.92% ▲ (+0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 77.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 22.76% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 43.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 56.44% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Brentford 39.6%
Draw 24.11%
Aston Villa 36.28%
Brentford
2-1 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 39.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.11%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 36.28%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 14
Aston Villa
Dec 4, 2024 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Villa Park
Brentford
  • Morgan Rogers 21' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 28' goal
  • Matty Cash 34' goal
  • Jhon Duran 65' yellowcard
  • Matty Cash 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Pinnock 25'
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 49'
  • goal Mikkel Damsgaard 54'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Aston Villa
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
Brentford
  • Ollie Watkins 38' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 46' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 80' goal
  • Diego Carlos 84' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikkel Damsgaard 42'
  • yellowcard Yoane Wissa 53'
  • goal Mathias Jorgensen 59'
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 61'
  • goal Yoane Wissa 68'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Brentford
Dec 17, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Brentford Community Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Keane Lewis-Potter 45' goal
  • Christian Norgaard 46' yellowcard
  • Thomas Frank 47' yellowcard
  • Ben Mee 71' redcard
  • Saman Ghoddos 86' yellowcard
  • Vitaly Janelt 88' yellowcard
  • Frank Onyeka 90' yellowcard
  • Neal Maupay 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Yehor Yarmolyuk 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Moreno 77'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 80'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 85'
  • yellowcard Ezri Konsa 86'
  • yellowcard Jhon Duran 87'
  • redcard Boubacar Kamara 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Unai Emery 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 90'+8'
Club Friendlies 1
Aston Villa
Jul 30, 2023 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 2
FT FedExField
Brentford
  • Ezri Konsa 27' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 32' goal
  • Matty Cash 37' goal
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 9'
  • goal Josh Dasilva 22'
  • goal Shandon Baptiste 66'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Brentford
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Ivan Toney 65' goal
  • goal Douglas Luiz 87'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
Oct 23, 2022 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Brentford
  • Leon Bailey 2' goal
  • Danny Ings 7' goal
  • Danny Ings 14' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 59' goal

Form Data

Brentford 1 - 1 Everton
Leicester 0 - 4 Brentford
West Ham 0 - 1 Brentford
Brentford 0 - 2 Spurs
Crystal Palace 1 - 2 Brentford
Brentford 0 - 2 Liverpool
Brugge 1 - 3 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 0 Cardiff
Crystal Palace 4 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Chelsea
Aston Villa 2 - 2 Liverpool
Aston Villa 1 - 1 Ipswich

Build-up

News
News
Predicted Lineups