Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 27

Feb 25, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
4 - 1
Aston Villa

Sarr (29', 71'), Mateta (59'), Nketiah (90+1')
Hughes (35'), Munoz (45+2'), Lerma (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rogers (52')
Bailey (82')

Reaction

Aston Villa goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez in February 2025.

Aston Villa injury news: Emiliano Martinez update provided by Unai Emery after heavy Crystal Palace defeat

Aston Villa head coach Unai Emery provides an injury update on Emiliano Martinez after the goalkeeper was withdrawn during Tuesday's 4-1 defeat at Crystal Palace.

Feb 26, 10:15

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Fulham 0-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Chelsea
Saturday, February 22 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Aston Villa
38.43% ( 0.33)	25.89% ( 0.06)	35.68% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 54.55% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.26% (

-0.28)

49.74% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.25% (

-0.25)

71.75% (

0.25)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.64% (

0.05)

25.36% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.85% (

0.07)

60.15% (

-0.07)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.08% (

-0.36)

26.91% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.76% (

-0.48)

62.24% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 38.43%

Aston Villa 35.68%

Draw 25.89%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.43%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.68%