Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 55.64%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.