Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 4, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Jan Breydelstadion

Brugge
1 - 3
Aston Villa

(Aston Villa win 6-1 on aggregate)

De Cuyper (12')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bailey (3'), Mechele (82' og.), Asensio (88' pen.)
Emery (70')

The Match

Match Report

Unai Emery's Aston Villa have a strong position to defend after the first 90 minutes of their Champions League round of 16 tie against Nicky Hayen's Club Brugge.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Club Brugge and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Brugge

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Gent 1-1 Brugge
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Aston Villa

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Cardiff
Friday, February 28 at 8pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 55.64%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Club Brugge	Draw	Aston Villa
55.64% ( -0.01)	22.08% ( 0)	22.27% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.18% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.22% (

-0)

40.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.83%

63.16% (

Club Brugge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.44% (

-0)

14.55% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.39% (

-0.01)

42.61% (

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.09% (

31.91% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.64% (

0.01)

68.35% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Club Brugge 55.64%

Aston Villa 22.27%

Draw 22.08%

Club Brugge	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.07% Total : 55.64%	1-1 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.08%	1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 22.27%