Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 53.34%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.