Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.