Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Standard Liege in this match.