Champions League
Jan 29, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Mateo Kovacic 53' goal
  • Pep Guardiola 55' yellowcard
  • Joel Ordonez 62' goal
  • Savio 77' goal
  • goal Raphael Onyedika 45'

Manchester City vs Club Brugge - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 22, 2025 8.00pm
PSG 4 - 2 Man City

Club Brugge

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2025 8.00pm
Brugge 0 - 0 Juventus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 53.97%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.77%) and 3-1 (6.56%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Manchester City 53.97% (-0.01)
Draw 20.98%
Club Brugge 25.05% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.77% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.63% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 32.37% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 46.01% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 53.99% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 27.17% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 72.83% (-0.01)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 87.76% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 12.24%
Over 1.5 62.05% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 37.95% (-0.01)

Club Brugge Goals

Over 0.5 74.94% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.05% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.27% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 59.73% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Manchester City 53.97%
Draw 20.98%
Club Brugge 25.05%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.44% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.54% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.44%
4-0 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 1.05%
5-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 53.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.92% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.48% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.07% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.98%
Club Brugge
1-2 @ 6.17% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.24%
2-3 @ 2.99% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.94%
1-3 @ 2.85% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 25.05%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 3, 2021 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Phil Foden 15' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 54' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 72' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 90'+2' goal
  • goal John Stones 17' (OG)
Champions League
Oct 19, 2021 5.45pm
1
5
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Clinton Mata 24' yellowcard
  • Stanley Nsoki 45' yellowcard
  • Eder Balanta 65' yellowcard
  • Hans Vanaken 81' goal
  • goal Joao Cancelo 30'
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 32'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 43'
  • goal Kyle Walker 53'
  • goal Cole Palmer 67'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 84'

Build-up

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Head to head
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