Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 65.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 15.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Sint-Truiden
65.76% ( 0.07)	19.18% ( -0.04)	15.05% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.46% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.86% (

0.08)

39.13% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.54% (

0.08)

61.46% (

-0.09)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.89% (

0.04)

11.11% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.47% (

0.09)

35.53% (

-0.09)

Sint-Truiden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.27% (

-0.01)

38.73% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.53% (

-0)

75.47% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Union SG 65.76%

Sint-Truiden 15.05%

Draw 19.18%

Union SG	Draw	Sint-Truiden
2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.22% Total : 65.76%	1-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.18%	1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 15.05%