Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 19.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Beerschot Wilrijk win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.