Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 25
Feb 8, 2025 at 5.15pm UK
Van Roystadion

Dender
2 - 1
Sint-Truiden

Nsimba (39' pen., 53')
Ferraro (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lamkel Ze (52')
Godeau (51'), Van Helden (90+4')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Dender and Sint-Truiden.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dender

All competitions
Last Game: Charleroi 5-0 Dender
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Sint-Truiden

All competitions
Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Sint-Truiden
Sunday, February 2 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dender win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dender win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dender would win this match.

Result
DenderDrawSint-Truiden
40.2% (0.607 0.61)25.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)34.12% (-0.621 -0.62)
Both teams to score 55.02% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.98% (-0.168 -0.17)49.02% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.9% (-0.152 -0.15)71.1% (0.15299999999999 0.15)
Dender Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (0.23699999999999 0.24)24.1% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (0.338 0.34)58.39% (-0.337 -0.34)
Sint-Truiden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (-0.455 -0.45)27.51% (0.456 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.99% (-0.594 -0.59)63.01% (0.59500000000001 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Dender 40.2%
    Sint-Truiden 34.12%
    Draw 25.67%
DenderDrawSint-Truiden
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.129 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.71% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.18% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.2%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.63% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.12%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 4
Sint-Truiden
3-3
Dender
Zahiroleslam (22', 30'), Bertaccini (53')
Van Helden (90+1')
Kvet (13'), Nsimba (48'), Akman (90+1')
Ruyssen (63')
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