Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Deepdale

Preston
2 - 1
Portsmouth

Porteous (76'), Teitur Thordarson (87')
Frokjaer-Jensen (24'), Greenwood (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bishop (83')
Waddingham (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Preston
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-2 Plymouth
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Portsmouth
51.02%	27.17%	21.81% ( -0)

Both teams to score 42.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.85%

61.14% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.9%

81.1%

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.79%

24.21% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.45%

58.55%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.12% (

-0)

43.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.98% (

-0)

80.02%

Score Analysis

Preston North End 51.01%

Portsmouth 21.81%

Draw 27.16%

Preston North End	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 15.06% 2-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-0 @ 5.05% 3-1 @ 4.16% 4-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.27% Total : 51.01%	1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 3.63% Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 8.75% 1-2 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.81%