Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Apr 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 0
Preston

Forsyth (48'), Yates (52')
Thompson (15')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Brady (72'), Frokjaer-Jensen (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 2-3 Derby
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Preston North End

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Preston 0-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 30 at 1.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 26.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Preston North End
44.2% ( 1.59)	28.93% ( -0.62)	26.87% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 42.45% (

0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.47% (

1.48)

63.53% (

-1.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.15% (

1.05)

82.85% (

-1.05)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

1.61)

28.7% (

-1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.47% (

1.97)

64.53% (

-1.97)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.54% (

0.01)

40.46% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.93% (

0.01)

77.07% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Derby County 44.2%

Preston North End 26.86%

Draw 28.92%

Derby County	Draw	Preston North End
1-0 @ 14.49% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.53% Total : 44.2%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.65) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.92%	0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.59) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.33% Total : 26.86%