/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcovlog.png)
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Matt Clarke
23'
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Harrison Armegang
28'
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Marcus Harness
48'
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Marcus Harness
54'
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Jake Bidwell
46'
Derby County vs Coventry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result
Derby County
28.82%
▲
(+0.16)
Draw
27.35%
▼
(-0.04)
Coventry City
43.82%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
47.77%
▲
(+0.20)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.62%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 2.5
57.37%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 3.5
21.8%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
78.19%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 4.5
9.39%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 4.5
90.6%
▼
(-0.11)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
64.56%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 0.5
35.44%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 1.5
27.79%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
72.2%
▼
(-0.25)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5
74%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
26%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
38.98%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
61.02%
▼
(-0.06)
Score analysis
Derby County
28.82%
Draw
27.35%
Coventry City
43.82%
Derby County
1-0
@
9.56%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 28.82%
2-1 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 28.82%
Draw
1-1
@
12.87%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.35%
0-0 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.35%
Coventry City
0-1
@
12.41%
▼
(-0.09)
1-2 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 43.82%
1-2 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 43.82%