Championship

Championship | Gameweek 37

Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 0
Coventry

Clarke (23'), Harness (48')
Armegang (28'), Harness (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bidwell (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Coventry City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Coventry 3-2 Stoke
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Coventry City
28.82% ( 0.15)	27.35% ( -0.04)	43.82% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 47.77% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.62% (

0.21)

57.37% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.8% (

0.16)

78.19% (

-0.17)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.56% (

0.23)

35.44% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.79% (

0.24)

72.2% (

-0.24)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74% (

0.03)

26% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.98% (

0.05)

61.02% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Derby County 28.82%

Coventry City 43.82%

Draw 27.35%

Derby County	Draw	Coventry City
1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 28.82%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.35%	0-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.82%